See what’s coming for your stablecoin yield - before you commit.

Path is early-warning intelligence for stablecoin allocation. It flags when protocol conditions and market regime are turning, validates the case against your mandate, then automates within it. Forward ranges and resolved outcomes support each decision - not a yield guarantee.

USDC CoreAave V3 · Ethereum · USDC
Observed APY3.21%
30D expected range2.90 to 3.52%
Forecast confidenceHigh confidence

Illustrative output · the confidence range widens with the forecast horizon

A high APY is not a treasury strategy.

Path estimates what a market can sustain, how much capital fits, and when the allocation should be reviewed.

Observed rate3.21%
Expected next 30 days2.9 to 3.5%
Position sizingWithin mandate
Review triggerUtilization below its 30-day range

From market signal to portfolio context.

Inspect the venue, vault, asset, position, forecast horizon, and the condition that would weaken the allocation case.

PathTreasury portfolio
Reference treasuryNorthstar demo
Illustrative product view
Portfolio value$10.0M
Allocated$7.6M
Deployable$2.4M
Positions5
Reviewing portfolio marketEthereum / Aave V3USDC Core / USDC
Observed rate3.21%Illustrative snapshot
30D forecast2.90 to 3.52%Expected APY range
Resolved historyTodayForward range
Prior periodForecast horizon
Horizon

The output is a decision, not another dashboard.

A concise record portfolio, treasury, and risk teams can review together.

Allocation review

Maintain $1.12M in Aave V3 USDC Core

Aave V3 · Ethereum · USDC · Protocol managed

The expected range remains inside the treasury mandate with sufficient exit liquidity at the current position size.

Expected range2.90 to 3.52%Next 30 days
Position sizingWithin mandateAt the current modeled position
Forecast confidenceHighRange widens with the forecast horizon
Review the decision if

Borrow demand falls below its 30-day floor or exit liquidity moves outside the mandate.

Open decision record

Forward-resolved evidence, published with context.

Each resolved prediction joins a cumulative record, so teams can judge the intelligence against observed outcomes and its own base rate.

Directional edge over base rate does not predict returns, liquidity events, or principal risk. Method and sample definitions should be reviewed before use.Review forecast records
High-confidence directional accuracy~66%Forward-resolved, high-confidence carve-out, Stable excluded
Base rate on the same set~63%Edge is the ~3pp above this base rate, not a headline yield
What we do not claimNo beat vs 53.5%Unfiltered directional signal is weaker; we only stand behind the carve-out edge

Directional accuracy is always shown against its own base rate. Interface example only. Not a production performance claim.

Turn a forecast into a decision.

Select an illustrative market to see how Path expresses the forward case.

MarketAPY now30D rangePath view

Values above are illustrative product output, not a current recommendation or historical performance.

Your mandate remains in force.

Path adds a forward intelligence layer. It does not replace custody, approvals, legal review, or principal-risk controls.

Read the operating model
Treasury mandateReference policy
Approved assetsUSDC / USDT / USDSInstitution defined
Liquidity floorRequired at exitEvaluated in each review
Venue exposurePolicy constrainedEvaluated before a decision
CustodyInstitution retainedUnchanged by Path

Mandate in.
Evidence out.

Path gives institutions a repeatable route from changing market conditions to a documented allocation decision.

Define

Encode liquidity, venue, exposure, and review constraints.

Forecast

Estimate forward yield as a range with confidence and horizon.

Challenge

Test the case against demand, liquidity, and incentive changes.

Record

Retain the evidence, the decision, and the observed outcome.

Put forward yield in your treasury process.

Review Path against your current stablecoin mandate, portfolio, and approval workflow.

Request a briefing